In Politics People Build Whole Reputations Off

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.

On Average, People Should Be More Skeptical When They See Numbers. They Should Be More Willing To Play Around With The Data Themselves.

The Quest For Certainty In Forecasting Outcomes Can Be The Enemy Of Progress.

A Lot Of Journalism Wants To Have What They Call Objectivity Without Them Having A Commitment To Pursuing The Truth, But That Doesn't Work. Objectivity Requires Belief In And A Commitment Toward Pursuing The Truth - Having An Object Outside Of Our Personal Point Of View.

I Guess I Don't Like The People In Politics Very Much, To Be Blunt.