A Lot Of News Is Just Entertainment

I Think Punditry Serves No Purpose.

I Think There's Space In The Market For A Half-dozen Kind Of Polling Analysts.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.

Not Only Does Political Coverage Often Lose The Signal—it Frequently Accentuates The Noise.

I Have The Same Friends And The Same Bad Habits.