To Be A Very, Very Minor, Eighth-tier

Every Four Years In The Presidential Election, Some New Precedent Is Broken.

If The State Polls Are Right, Then Mr. Obama Will Win The Electoral College. If You Can't Acknowledge That After A Day When Mr. Obama Leads 19 Out Of 20 Swing-state Polls, Then You Should Abandon The Pretense That Your Goal Is To Inform Rather Than Entertain The Public.

We Look At All The Polls, Not Just The Gallup Poll. So, It's Kind Of Like If You Have, You Know, Four Out Of Five Doctors Agree That Reducing Cholesterol Reduces Your Risk Of A Heart Attack, Gallup Is Like The Fifth Doctor.

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.

We Speak For Them. We Imbue Them With Meaning.