The More Guidance A Central Bank Can

Developments In Financial Markets Can Have Broad Economic Effects Felt By Many Outside The Markets.

The Basic Prescription For Preventing Deflation Is Therefore Straightforward, At Least In Principle: Use Monetary And Fiscal Policy As Needed To Support Aggregate Spending, In A Manner As Nearly Consistent As Possible With Full Utilization Of Economic Resources And Low And Stable Inflation. In Other Words, The Best Way To Get Out Of Trouble Is Not To Get Into It In The First Place.

I And Others Were Mistaken Early On In Saying That The Subprime Crisis Would Be Contained. The Causal Relationship Between The Housing Problem And The Broad Financial System Was Very Complex And Difficult To Predict.

I Think That Having Good Data, Good Statistics-and The United States Generally Has Better Macroeconomic Statistics Than Most Countries-and Having Good Economists To Interpret Those Data And Present The Policy Alternatives, Has A Substantially Beneficial Effect On Policymaking In The United States.

Indeed, In General, Healthy Investment Returns Cannot Be Sustained In A Weak Economy, And Of Course It Is Difficult To Save For Retirement Or Other Goals Without The Income From A Job.