The Dominance Of Conclusions Over Arguments Is

I Don't Try To Be Clever At All. The Idea That I Could See What No One Else Can Is An Illusion.

The Planning Fallacy Is That You Make A Plan, Which Is Usually A Best-case Scenario. Then You Assume That The Outcome Will Follow Your Plan, Even When You Should Know Better.

Optimism Is Normal, But Some Fortunate People Are More Optimistic Than The Rest Of Us. If You Are Genetically Endowed With An Optimistic Bias, You Hardly Need To Be Told That You Are A Lucky Person - You Already Feel Fortunate.

One Of The Problems With Expertise Is That People Have It In Some Domains And Not In Others.

We Have Associations To Things. We Have, You Know, We Have Associations To Tables And To - And To Dogs And To Cats And To Harvard Professors, And That's The Way The Mind Works. It's An Association Machine.