If You Have Reason To Think That

People Still Don't Appreciate How Ephemeral Success Is.

The Protestant Reformation Had A Lot To Do With The Printing Press, Where Martin Luther's Theses Were Reproduced About 250,000 Times. And So You Had Widespread Dissemination Of Ideas That Hadn't Circulated In The Mainstream Before.

The Signal Is The Truth. The Noise Is What Distracts Us From The Truth.

Walk Rate Is Probably The Area In Which A Pitcher Has The Most Room To Improve, But A Rate That High Is Tough To Overcome.

The Problem Is That When Polls Are Wrong, They Tend To Be Wrong In The Same Direction. If They Miss In New Hampshire, For Instance, They All Miss On The Same Mistake.