Hindsight Bias Makes Surprises Vanish.

I Would Not Advise People To Buy A Car Or House Without Making A List. You Will Probably Improve Your Intuitions By Making A List And Then Sleeping On It.

Some Achieve A Reputation For Great Successes When In Fact All They Have Done Is Take Chances That Reasonable People Wouldn't Take.

Friends Are Sometimes A Big Help When They Share Your Feelings. In The Context Of Decisions, The Friends Who Will Serve You Best Are Those Who Understand Your Feelings But Are Not Overly Impressed By Them.

People Tend To Assess The Relative Importance Of Issues By The Ease With Which They Are Retrieved From Memory—and This Is Largely Determined By The Extent Of Coverage In The Media. Frequently Mentioned Topics Populate The Mind Even As Others Slip Away From Awareness. In Turn, What The Media Choose To Report Corresponds To Their View Of What Is Currently On The Public’s Mind. It Is No Accident That Authoritarian Regimes Exert Substantial Pressure On Independent Media. Because Public Interest Is Most Easily Aroused By Dramatic Events And By Celebrities, Media Feeding Frenzies Are Common

True Intuitive Expertise Is Learned From Prolonged Experience With Good Feedback On Mistakes.