Given Our Inevitably Incomplete Knowledge About Key Structural Aspects Of Our Ever-changing Economy And The Sometimes Asymmetric Costs Or Benefits Of Particular Outcomes, A Central Bank... Need To Consider Not Only The Most Likely Future Path For The Economy But Also The Distribution Of Possible Outcomes About That Path. They Then Need To Reach A Judgment About The Probabilities, Costs, And Benefits Of The Various Possible Outcomes Under Alternative Choices For Policy.

-Alan Greenspan

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Given Our Inevitably Incomplete Knowledge About Key

Alan Greenspan

Given Our Inevitably Incomplete Knowledge About Key Structural Aspects Of Our Ever-changing Economy And The Sometimes Asymmetric Costs Or Benefits Of Particular Outcomes, A Central Bank... Need To Consider Not Only The Most Likely Future Path For The Economy But Also The Distribution Of Possible Outcomes About That Path. They Then Need To Reach A Judgment About The Probabilities, Costs, And Benefits Of The Various Possible Outcomes Under Alternative Choices For Policy.

Topic

Keys

Incomplete Knowledge

Choices

Regulators Have Not Been Able To Achieve The Level Of Future Clarity Required To Act Pre-emptively. The Problem Is Not Lack Of Regulation But Unrealistic Expectations. What We Confront In Reality Is Uncertainty, Some Of It Frighteningly So...

Ignorance

Reality

Expectations