By 2010 Computers Will Disappear. They'll Be

Although I'm Not Prepared To Move Up My Prediction Of A Computer Passing The Turing Test By 2029, The Progress That Has Been Achieved In Systems Like Watson Should Give Anyone Substantial Confidence That The Advent Of Turing-level Ai Is Close At Hand. If One Were To Create A Version Of Watson That Was Optimized For The Turing Test, It Would Probably Come Pretty Close.

In 1999, I Said That In About A Decade We Would See Technologies Such As Self-driving Cars And Mobile Phones That Could Answer Your Questions, And People Criticized These Predictions As Unrealistic.

By The Time Of The Singularity, There Won't Be A Distinction Between Humans And Technology. This Is Not Because Humans Will Have Become What We Think Of As Machines Today, But Rather Machines Will Have Progressed To Be Like Humans And Beyond. Technology Will Be The Metaphorical Opposable Thumb That Enables Our Next Step In Evolution.

The Fate Of The Universe Is A Decision Yet To Be Made, One Which We Will Intelligently Consider When The Time Is Right.

A Successful Person Isn't Necessarily Better Than Her Less Successful Peers At Solving Problems; Her Pattern-recognition Facilities Have Just Learned What Problems Are Worth Solving.