Any One Game In Baseball Doesn't Tell

Actually, One Of The Better Indicators Historically Of How Well The Stock Market Will Do Is Just A Gallup Poll, When You Ask Americans If You Think It's A Good Time To Invest In Stocks, Except It Goes The Opposite Direction Of What You Would Expect. When The Markets Going Up, It In Fact Makes It More Prone Toward Decline.

By Playing Games You Can Artificially Speed Up Your Learning Curve To Develop The Right Kind Of Thought Processes.

People Still Don't Appreciate How Ephemeral Success Is.

You Don't Want To Influence The Same System You Are Trying To Forecast.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.